ملخص الدراسة:

Gaza city is considered one of the most densely populated areas in the world and it is the most densely city in Gaza strip. The lack of efficient application of transportation planning process leads to deficiency in adopting the suitable transport policies to mitigate the transportation problems resulting from urbanization and rapid increase of population. The mode choice model is probably the most important element in transportation planning and policy making. The aim of this study is to develop mode choice model for work trips in Gaza city and therefore investigating the factors that affect the employed people’s choice for transport modes. The revealed and stated preference mode choice models were developed using about 2/3rd of 552 questionnaires distributed for this purpose. The rest 1/3rd of questionnaires were used to validate the chosen models. The results of this research show that the factors that significantly affect the choice of transport modes for revealed model are: total travel time, total cost divided by personal income, ownership of means of transport, distance, age, and average family monthly income. The results also indicated that the travel time, fare divided by personal income, frequency of service, age, average family monthly income and distance are the factors that affect the mode choice for stated preference model. Both revealed and stated preference models as illustrated in the results are able to predict the choice behavior of employed people in Gaza city as the two models are valid at 95% confidence level. This study can be used by transportation planners to predict the employed people’s behavior and travel demand analysis in addition to study the possibility and feasibility of introducing the bus services to the transport system in Gaza city. The developed models can be used for predicting the future modal split by inputting predicted future value of exploratory variables.

توثيق المرجعي (APA)